Match

Chornomorets vs Zorya Luhansk: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 24Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa

ChornomoretsZorya Luhansk

The Footlab AI model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zorya Luhansk wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chornomorets vs Zorya Luhansk?

Zorya Luhansk starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,809).

25%28%47%
Chornomorets winDrawZorya Luhansk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chornomorets vs Zorya Luhansk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chornomorets

4-2-3-1
  1. 99C. Mba
  1. 18G. Robakidze
  2. 7D. Alefirenko
  3. 5V. Kurko
  4. 19M. Kogut
  5. 11K. Popov
  1. 24M. Jarju
  2. 27O. Pushkarev
  3. 74M. Farina
  4. 60M. Melnychenko
  1. 12C. Aniagboso

Zorya Luhansk

4-4-2
  1. 28P. Budkivskyi
  2. 11I. Gorbach
  1. 27D. Jelavić
  2. 18M. Boyko
  3. 8K. Dryshlyuk
  4. 88S. Bah
  1. 39Artem Machelyuk
  2. 44I. Perduta
  3. 55Jordan
  4. 77B. Kushnirenko
  1. 1O. Saputin

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:50 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Zorya Luhansk have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chornomorets
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kudrivka(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 31, 2026Veres Rivne(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Karpaty(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Zorya Luhansk(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home)1-2Premier League
Zorya Luhansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026LNZ Cherkasy(home)1-2Premier League
Nov 2, 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 29, 2026Kryvbas KR(home)1-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Shakhtar Donetsk(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Chornomorets(home)2-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chornomorets wins, 0 draws, 4 Zorya Luhansk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Zorya Luhansk 2-1 ChornomoretsPremier League
Aug 23, 2025Chornomorets 2-1 Zorya LuhanskCup
Dec 14, 2024Zorya Luhansk 2-1 ChornomoretsPremier League
Aug 10, 2024Chornomorets 0-1 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
Apr 14, 2024Zorya Luhansk 1-0 ChornomoretsPremier League
Nov 1, 2023Chornomorets 4-1 Zorya LuhanskCup

Last archived meeting: Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chornomorets score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zorya Luhansk score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chornomorets0.81.147/156/15
Zorya Luhansk1.51.149/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chornomorets sit 11th in Premier League (9 points from 11 matches) and Zorya Luhansk sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Zorya Luhansk12534141518
11Chornomorets112368139

A question about Chornomorets vs Zorya Luhansk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Zorya Luhansk?
The Footlab AI model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Chornomorets.
Where and when is Chornomorets vs Zorya Luhansk played?
Chornomorets vs Zorya Luhansk is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chornomorets and Zorya Luhansk