Ljutomer vs NK Ormoz: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)ŠRC Ljutomer, Ljutomer
The Footlab model makes NK Ormoz the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Ljutomer. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ljutomer vs NK Ormoz?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Ljutomer (1,419) and NK Ormoz (1,478).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ljutomer have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; NK Ormoz have 2, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odranci(away) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dobrovce(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Videm(home) | 6-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Dobrovce(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Rogaška(home) | 6-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rače(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šmartno(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Ljutomer score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; NK Ormoz score 3.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ljutomer | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| NK Ormoz | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ljutomer sit 6th in 3. SNL - East (3 points from 2 matches) and NK Ormoz sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Ormoz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Ljutomer | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ljutomer vs NK Ormoz?
- The Footlab model makes NK Ormoz the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Ljutomer.
- Where and when is Ljutomer vs NK Ormoz played?
- Ljutomer vs NK Ormoz is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at ŠRC Ljutomer, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.