Čarda Martjanci vs Šmartno: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Nogometno igrišče v Martjancih, Martjanci
The Footlab model makes Čarda Martjanci the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Šmartno. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Čarda Martjanci vs Šmartno?
Čarda Martjanci starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,521 vs 1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Čarda Martjanci have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Šmartno have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hajdina(away) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Šampion Celje(home) | 3-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rogaška(home) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Zavrč(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 3, 2026 | Rače(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Ormoz(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rače(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Čarda Martjanci win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Šmartno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Čarda Martjanci 3-2 Šmartno | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Šmartno 2-1 Čarda Martjanci | 3. SNL - East |
Last archived meeting: Čarda Martjanci vs Šmartno on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Čarda Martjanci score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Šmartno score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Čarda Martjanci | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Šmartno | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Čarda Martjanci sit 7th in 3. SNL - East (3 points from 2 matches) and Šmartno sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Čarda Martjanci | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Šmartno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Čarda Martjanci vs Šmartno?
- The Footlab model makes Čarda Martjanci the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Šmartno.
- Where and when is Čarda Martjanci vs Šmartno played?
- Čarda Martjanci vs Šmartno is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Nogometno igrišče v Martjancih, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.