llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons: result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 6Kick-off on September 8, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
Full time
What was the result of llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
llanelli AFC won 2-1 on September 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 16′?llanelli AFC
- 57′?Baglan Dragons
- 90′S. Croninllanelli AFC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 3, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2023 | Llantwit Major(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Goytre United(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Abergavenny Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Llantwit Major(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 2.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 2.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 2.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 6/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 16th in FAW Championship (2 points from 11 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy