Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,080 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC?
On Elo ratings, Treowen Stars has 1,059 points and llanelli AFC 964.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Treowen Stars
Not enough data to predict the Treowen Stars lineup.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treowen Stars have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; llanelli AFC have 0, 3 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Treowen Stars win, 0 draws, 0 llanelli AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | llanelli AFC 0-2 Treowen Stars | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Treowen Stars on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Treowen Stars score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.8 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treowen Stars | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.8 | 3.3 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treowen Stars sit 5th in FAW Championship (20 points from 13 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 16th (3 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Treowen Stars | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 20 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 3 |
A question about Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC played?
- Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Newport CityvsCardiff Draconians
- Dec 4, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsSwansea University
- Dec 4, 2026Pontypridd TownvsBaglan Dragons
- Dec 4, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsCarmarthen Town
- Dec 5, 2026Ynyshir AlbionsvsAfan Lido
- Dec 5, 2026Llantwit MajorvsAberystwyth Town
- Dec 5, 2026Pontardawe TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds