Where and when is Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC played?

Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Treowen Stars

llanelli AFC

The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Treowen Stars (1,581) and llanelli AFC (1,559).

Treowen Stars win53 %

Draw22 %

llanelli AFC win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treowen Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Treowen Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(home)	3-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	2-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

llanelli AFC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Swansea University(away)	0-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Newport City(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Haverfordwest County AFC(away)	0-6	Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Treowen Stars score 2.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Treowen Stars	2.0	2.2	1	11/15	13/15
llanelli AFC	0.7	2.7	1	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Treowen Stars sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Treowen Stars	4	3	0	1	11	6	9
15	llanelli AFC	4	0	1	3	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC?: The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for llanelli AFC.
Where and when is Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC played?: Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.