llanelli AFC vs Penybont: result 3-3 and analysis
Welsh Cup3rd RoundKick-off on November 10, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
Full time
What was the result of llanelli AFC vs Penybont?
llanelli AFC and Penybont drew 3-3 on November 10, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 28′E. Cannllanelli AFC
- 31′K. ReffellPenybont
- 35′C. VenablesPenybont
- 51′E. Cannllanelli AFC
- 77′J. Bakerllanelli AFC
- 90′L. HarlingPenybont
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Penybont have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 9-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Taffs Well(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2023 | The New Saints(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Penybont | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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