llanelli AFC vs Ynysgerwn: result 5-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup3rd RoundKick-off on December 2, 2016 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
Full time
What was the result of llanelli AFC vs Ynysgerwn?
llanelli AFC won 5-1 on December 2, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Ynysgerwn have 2, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2016 | Taffs Well(away) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 30, 2016 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 6-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 30, 2015 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Panteg(home) | 6-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | Monmouth Town(home) | 7-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Ebbw Vale(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 3.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 5; Ynysgerwn score 4.5 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Ynysgerwn | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 3, 2016Aberystwyth Town2-0Holywell
- Dec 3, 2016Llanfair United1-0Corwen
- Dec 3, 2016Greenfield0-3Guilsfield
- Dec 3, 2016Caernarfon Town3-1Carmarthen Town
- Dec 3, 2016GAP Connah S Quay FC3-2Goytre United
- Dec 3, 2016Newtown AFC0-3The New Saints
- Dec 3, 2016Llandudno0-2Goytre AFC
- Dec 3, 2016Haverfordwest County AFC1-0Afan Lido