Caernarfon Town vs Carmarthen Town: result 3-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup3rd RoundKick-off on December 3, 2016 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
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What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Carmarthen Town?
Caernarfon Town won 3-1 on December 3, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | Llangefni Town(away) | 6-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 30, 2016 | Conwy Borough(away) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Goytre AFC(away) | 2-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Llandudno Junction(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Llanrug United(away) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | Bangor City(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2016 | The New Saints(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Cefn Druids AFC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Rhyl(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Bala Town(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 11; Carmarthen Town score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/11 | 9/11 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 2, 2016llanelli AFC5-1Ynysgerwn
- Dec 3, 2016Llanfair United1-0Corwen
- Dec 3, 2016Aberystwyth Town2-0Holywell
- Dec 3, 2016Greenfield0-3Guilsfield
- Dec 3, 2016Newtown AFC0-3The New Saints
- Dec 3, 2016Llandudno0-2Goytre AFC
- Dec 3, 2016Haverfordwest County AFC1-0Afan Lido
- Dec 3, 2016Prestatyn Town2-1Holyhead Hotspur