Llanes vs Sporting Gijón II: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San José, Llanes
The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Llanes. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanes vs Sporting Gijón II?
Sporting Gijón II starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanes have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Sporting Gijón II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Llanes win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sporting Gijón II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Llanes 3-3 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II 2-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Sporting Gijón II 1-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Llanes 0-0 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Llanes 1-2 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Sporting Gijón II 0-1 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Llanes vs Sporting Gijón II on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Llanes score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijón II score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanes | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sporting Gijón II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanes vs Sporting Gijón II?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Llanes.
- Where and when is Llanes vs Sporting Gijón II played?
- Llanes vs Sporting Gijón II is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San José, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.