Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons: result 1-4 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 3Kick-off on August 12, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
Full time
What was the result of Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons?
Baglan Dragons won 1-4 on August 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 8′?Baglan Dragons
- 19′?Baglan Dragons
- 37′?Llantwit Major
- 56′?Baglan Dragons
- 67′?Baglan Dragons
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 1, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2023 | Abergavenny Town(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Goytre United(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Goytre United(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Afan Lido(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 3/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy