Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons: result 0-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 8, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
Full time
What was the result of Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons?
Baglan Dragons won 0-1 on March 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′?Baglan Dragons
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Afan Lido(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Goytre United(home) | 6-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Llantwit Major wins, 2 draws, 1 Baglan Dragons win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Llantwit Major 1-4 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major on Nov 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy