Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely): result 1-4 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
Full time
What was the result of Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-4 on March 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
- 48′644758Llantwit Major
- 54′K. EvansCaerau (Ely) (o.g.)
- 62′T. McLeanCaerau (Ely)
- 89′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Llantwit Major wins, 2 draws, 2 Caerau (Ely) wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Llantwit Major 1-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 2-4 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 3-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Llantwit Major 1-4 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major on Sep 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2026Cwmbran Celtic1-2Cambrian & Clydach
- Mar 27, 2026Pontypridd Town1-3Trefelin
- Mar 28, 2026Cardiff Draconians0-1Newport City
- Mar 28, 2026Baglan Dragons0-7Carmarthen Town
- Mar 28, 2026Ynyshir Albions2-2Trethomas Bluebirds
- Mar 28, 2026Treowen Stars1-5Ammanford AFC
- Mar 28, 2026Aberystwyth Town0-1Afan Lido