Llerenense vs Cabeza Buey: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Robina, Llerena
The Footlab AI model makes Llerenense the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Cabeza Buey. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llerenense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llerenense vs Cabeza Buey?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Llerenense (1,827) and Cabeza Buey (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llerenense vs Cabeza Buey
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llerenense
Not enough data to predict the Llerenense lineup.
Cabeza Buey
Not enough data to predict the Cabeza Buey lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llerenense have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cabeza Buey have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Villanovense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Llerenense wins, 0 draws, 2 Cabeza Buey wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Cabeza Buey 1-0 Llerenense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Llerenense 1-2 Cabeza Buey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Cabeza Buey vs Llerenense on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Llerenense score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cabeza Buey score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llerenense | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cabeza Buey | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llerenense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (13 points from 5 matches) and Cabeza Buey sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Llerenense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Cabeza Buey | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Llerenense vs Cabeza Buey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llerenense vs Cabeza Buey?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llerenense the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Cabeza Buey.
- Where and when is Llerenense vs Cabeza Buey played?
- Llerenense vs Cabeza Buey is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Robina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.