Plasencia vs Jaraíz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Plasencia, Plasencia
The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Plasencia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jaraíz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plasencia vs Jaraíz?
Jaraíz starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,661).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plasencia vs Jaraíz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plasencia
4-3-3- CChema Martín
- CC. Hanson
- LL. Macharashvili
- AAdri
- EEdu Sánchez
- DDiego
- ÁÁlvaro Juanals
- AAgustín Fuentes
- IIvan Villar
- AAday
- SSergio Moya
Jaraíz
Not enough data to predict the Jaraíz lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plasencia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Jaraíz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Quintana(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castuera(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Plasencia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jaraíz score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plasencia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Jaraíz | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plasencia sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (5 points from 6 matches) and Jaraíz sit 14th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jaraíz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 16 | Plasencia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Plasencia vs Jaraíz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plasencia vs Jaraíz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Plasencia.
- Where and when is Plasencia vs Jaraíz played?
- Plasencia vs Jaraíz is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Plasencia, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.