Llosetense vs Mercadal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal Es Puig, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Llosetense the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Mercadal. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llosetense vs Mercadal?
Llosetense starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llosetense vs Mercadal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llosetense
Not enough data to predict the Llosetense lineup.
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llosetense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mercadal have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Llosetense wins, 1 draw, 1 Mercadal win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Llosetense 6-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Mercadal 0-0 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Llosetense 3-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Mercadal 4-0 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Mercadal 1-3 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Llosetense 1-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Llosetense vs Mercadal on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Llosetense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mercadal score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llosetense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mercadal | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llosetense sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (10 points from 6 matches) and Mercadal sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Llosetense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Llosetense vs Mercadal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llosetense vs Mercadal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llosetense the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Mercadal.
- Where and when is Llosetense vs Mercadal played?
- Llosetense vs Mercadal is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal Es Puig, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.