Migjorn vs Formentera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Formentera the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Migjorn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Formentera wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Migjorn vs Formentera?
Formentera is a heavy favourite: 1,879 Elo points against 1,567, a 312-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Migjorn vs Formentera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Migjorn
4-3-3- KKevin Grajales
- AAlberto Garrido
- FFabri
- NNnabama
- IIker Coll
- HHector Riudavets
- KKoke
- RRaúl Villalonga
- JJonathan Seguí
- MMarc Rovellada
- LLlori
Formentera
Not enough data to predict the Formentera lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Migjorn have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Formentera have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Platges Calvià(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Binissalem(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Migjorn wins, 0 draws, 2 Formentera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Formentera 6-0 Migjorn | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Migjorn 0-2 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Migjorn score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Formentera score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Migjorn | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Formentera | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Migjorn sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (3 points from 6 matches) and Formentera sit 7th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Formentera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 15 | Migjorn | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
A question about Migjorn vs Formentera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Migjorn vs Formentera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Formentera the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Migjorn.
- Where and when is Migjorn vs Formentera played?
- Migjorn vs Formentera is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.