Llosetense vs Porreres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal Es Puig, Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Llosetense the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Porreres. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llosetense vs Porreres?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Llosetense (1,846) and Porreres (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llosetense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Porreres have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 17, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 10, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Barcelona B(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Llosetense win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Porreres win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Llosetense 2-0 Porreres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Porreres 1-1 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Llosetense vs Porreres on Feb 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Llosetense score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Porreres score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llosetense | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Porreres | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llosetense vs Porreres?
- The Footlab model makes Llosetense the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Porreres.
- Where and when is Llosetense vs Porreres played?
- Llosetense vs Porreres is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal Es Puig, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.