Binissalem vs Santanyí: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Miquel Pons, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Binissalem the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Santanyí. The most likely score is 1-1. If Binissalem wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Binissalem vs Santanyí?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Binissalem (1,737) and Santanyí (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Binissalem vs Santanyí
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Binissalem
Not enough data to predict the Binissalem lineup.
Santanyí
Not enough data to predict the Santanyí lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Binissalem have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Santanyí have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Binissalem wins, 2 draws, 1 Santanyí win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Santanyí 0-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Binissalem 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Santanyí 2-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Binissalem 1-1 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Santanyí 1-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Binissalem 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Santanyí vs Binissalem on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Binissalem score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binissalem | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Binissalem sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (6 points from 6 matches) and Santanyí sit 6th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Binissalem vs Santanyí?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Binissalem vs Santanyí?
- The Footlab AI model makes Binissalem the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Santanyí.
- Where and when is Binissalem vs Santanyí played?
- Binissalem vs Santanyí is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miquel Pons, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.