Platges Calvià vs Arenal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Arenal. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platges Calvià vs Arenal?
Platges Calvià starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,609).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Platges Calvià vs Arenal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Arenal
Not enough data to predict the Arenal lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platges Calvià have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Arenal have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Platges Calvià wins, 0 draws, 0 Arenal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Arenal 0-1 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Platges Calvià 2-0 Arenal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Arenal vs Platges Calvià on Jan 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Platges Calvià score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arenal score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platges Calvià | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Arenal | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platges Calvià sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (21 points from 9 matches) and Arenal sit 17th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges Calvià | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 17 | Arenal | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Platges Calvià vs Arenal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platges Calvià vs Arenal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Arenal.
- Where and when is Platges Calvià vs Arenal played?
- Platges Calvià vs Arenal is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.