Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados: prediction and stats
Primera PremierMatchday 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Deportiva Venados the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Lobos ULMX. The most likely score is 1-1. If Deportiva Venados wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados?
Deportiva Venados starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lobos ULMX
Not enough data to predict the Lobos ULMX lineup.
Deportiva Venados
Not enough data to predict the Deportiva Venados lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 10:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lobos ULMX have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Deportiva Venados have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 3-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(home) | 3-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-4 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lobos ULMX wins, 2 draws, 0 Deportiva Venados wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Deportiva Venados 0-0 Lobos ULMX | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Lobos ULMX 1-1 Deportiva Venados | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Deportiva Venados vs Lobos ULMX on Jan 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Lobos ULMX score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportiva Venados score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos ULMX | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Deportiva Venados | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lobos ULMX sit 8th in Primera Premier (14 points from 10 matches) and Deportiva Venados sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lobos ULMX | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Deportiva Venados | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados?
- The Footlab AI model makes Deportiva Venados the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Lobos ULMX.
- Where and when is Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados played?
- Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026Tritons VallartavsTapachula
- Nov 14, 2026Tigres de AlicavsJaguares de Chiapas
- Nov 14, 2026Reboceros La PiedadvsRacing de Veracruz
- Nov 14, 2026Zacatepec 1948vsMontañeses
- Nov 14, 2026CordobésvsPioneros de Cancún
- Nov 15, 2026Los Cabos UnitedvsChapulineros
- Nov 15, 2026H2O PurepechasvsInter Playa del Carmen
- Nov 17, 2026IrapuatovsCelaya