Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Canchas Curiel, Las Juntas
The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tritons Vallarta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Tritons Vallarta (1,849) and Tapachula (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tritons Vallarta
Not enough data to predict the Tritons Vallarta lineup.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritons Vallarta have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tapachula have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tritons Vallarta win, 1 draw, 0 Tapachula wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tapachula 1-1 Tritons Vallarta | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta 1-0 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tritons Vallarta score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons Vallarta | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
| Tapachula | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tritons Vallarta sit 18th in Primera Premier (2 points from 6 matches) and Tapachula sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Tritons Vallarta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
A question about Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula played?
- Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula is played on November 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Canchas Curiel, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Tigres de AlicavsJaguares de Chiapas
- Nov 14, 2026Reboceros La PiedadvsRacing de Veracruz
- Nov 14, 2026Zacatepec 1948vsMontañeses
- Nov 14, 2026CordobésvsPioneros de Cancún
- Nov 15, 2026Lobos ULMXvsDeportiva Venados
- Nov 15, 2026Los Cabos UnitedvsChapulineros
- Nov 15, 2026H2O PurepechasvsInter Playa del Carmen
- Nov 17, 2026IrapuatovsCelaya