Irapuato vs Celaya: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Sergio León Chávez, Irapuato
The Footlab AI model makes Irapuato the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Celaya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Irapuato wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Irapuato vs Celaya?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Irapuato (1,983) and Celaya (1,963).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Irapuato vs Celaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Irapuato
4-3-3- 28J. Gamboa
- 8C. Cruz
- 36J. Salazar
- 10J. Rangel
- 34J. Ruiz
- 6E. del Angel
- 16R. Sandoval
- 27G. Martínez
- 3V. Alvarado
- 32R. Castellanos
- 35A. Cabañas
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Irapuato have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Celaya have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 3-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cordobés(away) | 3-0 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Irapuato score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irapuato | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Irapuato sit 1st in Primera Premier (18 points from 6 matches) and Celaya sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Irapuato vs Celaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Irapuato vs Celaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Irapuato the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Celaya.
- Where and when is Irapuato vs Celaya played?
- Irapuato vs Celaya is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC) at Estadio Sergio León Chávez, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026Tritons VallartavsTapachula
- Nov 14, 2026Tigres de AlicavsJaguares de Chiapas
- Nov 14, 2026Reboceros La PiedadvsRacing de Veracruz
- Nov 14, 2026Zacatepec 1948vsMontañeses
- Nov 14, 2026CordobésvsPioneros de Cancún
- Nov 15, 2026Lobos ULMXvsDeportiva Venados
- Nov 15, 2026Los Cabos UnitedvsChapulineros
- Nov 15, 2026H2O PurepechasvsInter Playa del Carmen