Lobos ULMX vs Tigres de Alica: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Tigres de Alica the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Lobos ULMX. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tigres de Alica wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,653 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs Tigres de Alica?
Tigres de Alica starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lobos ULMX vs Tigres de Alica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lobos ULMX
Not enough data to predict the Lobos ULMX lineup.
Tigres de Alica
Not enough data to predict the Tigres de Alica lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lobos ULMX have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tigres de Alica have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 3-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 4-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordobés(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lobos ULMX wins, 1 draw, 0 Tigres de Alica wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres de Alica 1-1 Lobos ULMX | Primera Premier |
Last archived meeting: Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lobos ULMX score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres de Alica score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos ULMX | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tigres de Alica | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lobos ULMX sit 10th in Primera Premier (11 points from 9 matches) and Tigres de Alica sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Lobos ULMX | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Lobos ULMX vs Tigres de Alica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lobos ULMX vs Tigres de Alica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tigres de Alica the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Lobos ULMX.
- Where and when is Lobos ULMX vs Tigres de Alica played?
- Lobos ULMX vs Tigres de Alica is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.