Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, Tapachula
The Footlab AI model makes Pioneros de Cancún the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,136 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Pioneros de Cancún starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Pioneros de Cancún
Not enough data to predict the Pioneros de Cancún lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapachula have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Pioneros de Cancún have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-4 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-4 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 1-4 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(away) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tapachula win, 1 draw, 3 Pioneros de Cancún wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún 5-1 Tapachula | Primera Premier |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tapachula 2-1 Pioneros de Cancún | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Pioneros de Cancún 4-1 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Pioneros de Cancún 0-0 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Tapachula 0-3 Pioneros de Cancún | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Pioneros de Cancún vs Tapachula on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tapachula score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pioneros de Cancún score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapachula | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Pioneros de Cancún | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tapachula sit 18th in Primera Premier (6 points from 10 matches) and Pioneros de Cancún sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pioneros de Cancún | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 20 |
| 18 | Tapachula | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 6 |
A question about Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pioneros de Cancún the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún played?
- Tapachula vs Pioneros de Cancún is played on January 30, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.