Match

Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis: prediction and stats

Liga NacionalApertura - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca

Lobos UpnfmGénesis

The Footlab AI model makes Lobos Upnfm the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Génesis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lobos Upnfm wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Lobos Upnfm (1,605) and Génesis (1,621).

45%28%27%
Lobos Upnfm winDrawGénesis win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lobos Upnfm

4-3-3
  1. 11S. Elvir
  2. 10Yeferson Hinestroza
  3. 32M. Baquedano
  1. 6J. Ponce
  2. 13M. Rodríguez
  3. 8J. Núñez
  1. 2D. Suazo
  2. 24O. Elvir
  3. 3G. Rodas
  4. 25M. Santos
  1. 12A. Güity

Génesis

4-3-3
  1. 9E. Alderete
  2. 24C. Fonseca
  3. 11B. Felix
  1. 15E. Maldonado
  2. 6R. Sander
  3. 10W. Martínez
  1. 12Gabriel Araújo
  2. 2A. Vargas
  3. 27J. Figueroa
  4. 44M. Gamboa
  1. 31R. A. Balanta

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 03:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lobos Upnfm have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Génesis have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lobos Upnfm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atletico Independiente(away)4-0Liga Nacional
Oct 11, 2026CD Marathon(home)0-0Liga Nacional
Sep 18, 2026Platense FC(away)2-0Liga Nacional
Sep 13, 2026Atlético Choloma(home)1-0Liga Nacional
Sep 6, 2026Real Espana(away)0-2Liga Nacional
Génesis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Atlético Choloma(away)1-3Liga Nacional
Oct 10, 2026CD Olimpia(home)0-1Liga Nacional
Sep 19, 2026Olancho(home)0-0Liga Nacional
Sep 13, 2026CD Motagua(away)0-1Liga Nacional
Sep 7, 2026Juticalpa(away)3-0Liga Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lobos Upnfm wins, 1 draw, 2 Génesis wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2026Lobos Upnfm 0-1 GénesisLiga Nacional
Mar 2, 2026Génesis 0-2 Lobos UpnfmLiga Nacional
Sep 27, 2025Génesis 2-3 Lobos UpnfmLiga Nacional
Jul 23, 2025Lobos Upnfm 2-1 GénesisLiga Nacional
Mar 12, 2025Lobos Upnfm 1-1 GénesisLiga Nacional
Jan 25, 2025Génesis 4-0 Lobos UpnfmLiga Nacional

Last archived meeting: Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis on Apr 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lobos Upnfm score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Génesis score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lobos Upnfm1.01.346/155/15
Génesis1.21.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lobos Upnfm sit 8th in Liga Nacional (12 points from 10 matches) and Génesis sit 9th (11 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Lobos Upnfm10334111212
9Génesis11326121211

A question about Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?
The Footlab AI model makes Lobos Upnfm the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Génesis.
Where and when is Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis played?
Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, in the Liga Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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