Lokeren vs Metalist: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueGroup stage - 2Kick-off on October 2, 2014 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Daknamstadion, Lokeren
Full time
What was the result of Lokeren vs Metalist?
Lokeren won 1-0 on October 2, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 74′Nill De PauwLokeren
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokeren have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Metalist have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Gent(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2014 | KV Mechelen(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Standard Liege(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2014 | Hoverla(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Karpaty(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk(home) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Metalurh Donetsk(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lokeren score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Metalist score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Metalist | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy