Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Kyiv the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Probiy Horodenka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Kyiv (1,649) and Probiy Horodenka (1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Kyiv have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Probiy Horodenka have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lokomotiv Kyiv win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Probiy Horodenka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv 1-3 Probiy Horodenka | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Kyiv score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Probiy Horodenka score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Probiy Horodenka | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 12th in Persha Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and Probiy Horodenka sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Kyiv the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Probiy Horodenka.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka played?
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.