Lokomotiv Oslo vs Bærum: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tørteberg kunstgress, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Bærum the favourite at 58%, against 18% for a draw and 24% for Lokomotiv Oslo. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Oslo vs Bærum?
Bærum starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Oslo have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Bærum have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grorud(home) | 1-5 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SF Grei(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KFUM II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mjondalen(home) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SF Grei(away) | 7-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | KFUM II(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heming(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vålerenga II(home) | 6-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lokomotiv Oslo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bærum win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Bærum 2-1 Lokomotiv Oslo | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bærum 7-2 Lokomotiv Oslo | Obos Supercup |
Last archived meeting: Bærum vs Lokomotiv Oslo on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Oslo score 1.7 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bærum score 3.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Oslo | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Bærum | 3.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Oslo sit 12th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (14 points from 16 matches) and Bærum sit 3rd (31 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bærum | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 31 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 50 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Oslo vs Bærum?
- The Footlab model makes Bærum the favourite at 58%, against 18% for a draw and 24% for Lokomotiv Oslo.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Oslo vs Bærum played?
- Lokomotiv Oslo vs Bærum is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tørteberg kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.