Longford Town vs Cork City: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 33Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Bishopsgate Stadium, Longford Town
The Footlab model makes Cork City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Longford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Longford Town vs Cork City?
Cork City starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,552 vs 1,387).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Longford Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Cork City have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 4-2 | First Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-4 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Athlone Town(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Finn Harps(home) | 5-0 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kerry(home) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 3-2 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Finn Harps(away) | 3-0 | First Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | UCD(away) | 2-5 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Longford Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Cork City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Cork City 3-4 Longford Town | First Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Longford Town 0-2 Cork City | First Division |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Cork City 2-1 Longford Town | First Division |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Cork City 3-2 Longford Town | First Division |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Cork City 2-0 Longford Town | First Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Longford Town 1-4 Cork City | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Cork City vs Longford Town on Jul 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Longford Town score 2.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cork City score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longford Town | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Cork City | 2.3 | 1.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Longford Town sit 6th in First Division (25 points from 20 matches) and Cork City sit 1st (48 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 11 | 48 |
| 1 | Cork City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 40 |
| 6 | Longford Town | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Longford Town vs Cork City?
- The Footlab model makes Cork City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Longford Town.
- Where and when is Longford Town vs Cork City played?
- Longford Town vs Cork City is played on September 26, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Bishopsgate Stadium, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.