Lorca Deportiva vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorca Deportiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs La Nucía?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Lorca Deportiva (1,884) and La Nucía (1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorca Deportiva vs La Nucía
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
La Nucía
Not enough data to predict the La Nucía lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; La Nucía have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Lorca Deportiva win, 0 draws, 0 La Nucía wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: La Nucía vs Lorca Deportiva on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorca Deportiva sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (12 points from 9 matches) and La Nucía sit 9th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lorca Deportiva | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | La Nucía | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Lorca Deportiva vs La Nucía?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorca Deportiva vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Lorca Deportiva vs La Nucía played?
- Lorca Deportiva vs La Nucía is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.