Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Orihuela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ucam Murcia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela?
Ucam Murcia starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,859).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Orihuela
Not enough data to predict the Orihuela lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 11:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ucam Murcia have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Orihuela have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ucam Murcia win, 2 draws, 1 Orihuela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Ucam Murcia 1-1 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Orihuela 0-1 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Ucam Murcia 0-2 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Orihuela 1-1 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ucam Murcia score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ucam Murcia sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (15 points from 8 matches) and Orihuela sit 7th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ucam Murcia | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Orihuela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Orihuela.
- Where and when is Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela played?
- Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.