La Nucía vs Lorca Deportiva: result 1-3 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Olímpic Camilo Cano, La Nucia
Full time
What was the result of La Nucía vs Lorca Deportiva?
Lorca Deportiva won 1-3 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 32′606366La Nucía
- 53′José NaranjoLorca Deportiva
- 66′Juanma BravoLorca Deportiva
- 78′D. TalaveronLorca Deportiva
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a La Nucía win at 50%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Nucía have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Elche II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
La Nucía score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 0.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Nucía | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Nucía sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (12 points from 7 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 12th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | La Nucía | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Lorca Deportiva | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
A question about La Nucía vs Lorca Deportiva?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy