Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poblense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Lorca Deportiva (1,874) and Poblense (1,955).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Poblense
4-3-3- 19Alberto Fernández
- 11Aitor Pons
- 23Antoni Peñafort
- 8M. Femenias
- 18G. Teruel
- 16Payeras Marti
- 15Pep Vidal
- 20Juan Suasi
- 6Joan Salvà
- 10D. Martinez
- 1Vincenç Sabater
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Poblense have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Poblense score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Poblense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorca Deportiva sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 5 matches) and Poblense sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Poblense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense played?
- Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.