Valencia II vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Puchades (Ciudad Deportiva Valencia), Paterna
The Footlab model makes Valencia II the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valencia II vs Castellonense?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Valencia II (1,911) and Castellonense (1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valencia II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Castellonense have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Hércules II(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Saguntino(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villarreal III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Valencia II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Valencia II | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valencia II vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab model makes Valencia II the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Valencia II vs Castellonense played?
- Valencia II vs Castellonense is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Puchades (Ciudad Deportiva Valencia), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.