Lorca FC vs Lugo: result 1-2 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 18, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Full time
What was the result of Lorca FC vs Lugo?
Lugo won 1-2 on November 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 22′Mario BarcoLugo
- 30′Fernando SeoaneLorca FC (o.g.)
- 71′Fede VicoLugo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Lorca FC have 3 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lugo have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 30, 2017 | Granada CF(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Tenerife(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 14, 2017 | Barcelona B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | Numancia(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Oviedo(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Gimnastic(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Valladolid(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2017 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 14; Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca FC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/14 | 5/14 |
| Lugo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy