Lorient II vs Pontivy GSI: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Charter 1, Quimperle
The Footlab model makes Lorient II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pontivy GSI. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient II vs Pontivy GSI?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Lorient II (1,724) and Pontivy GSI (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pontivy GSI have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Vannes(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Vire(away) | 0-0 | National 3 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ergué-Gaberic(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lorient II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pontivy GSI win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Lorient II 1-3 Pontivy GSI | National 3 - Group C |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Pontivy GSI 2-2 Lorient II | National 3 - Group C |
| Jan 24, 2015 | Pontivy GSI 1-1 Lorient II | National 2 - Group D |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Lorient II 2-0 Pontivy GSI | National 2 - Group D |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Pontivy GSI 2-0 Lorient II | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Lorient II 2-1 Pontivy GSI | National 2 - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Lorient II vs Pontivy GSI on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient II score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontivy GSI score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Pontivy GSI | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient II sit 3rd in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 1 matches) and Pontivy GSI sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lorient II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Pontivy GSI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient II vs Pontivy GSI?
- The Footlab model makes Lorient II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pontivy GSI.
- Where and when is Lorient II vs Pontivy GSI played?
- Lorient II vs Pontivy GSI is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Charter 1, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.