Pontivy GSI vs Châteaubriant: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B · Matchday 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy
The Footlab AI model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontivy GSI wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontivy GSI vs Châteaubriant?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Pontivy GSI (1,755) and Châteaubriant (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontivy GSI vs Châteaubriant
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontivy GSI
Not enough data to predict the Pontivy GSI lineup.
Châteaubriant
Not enough data to predict the Châteaubriant lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontivy GSI have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Châteaubriant have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Granville(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pontivy GSI wins, 1 draw, 0 Châteaubriant wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Châteaubriant 2-2 Pontivy GSI | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Châteaubriant vs Pontivy GSI on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontivy GSI score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Châteaubriant score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontivy GSI | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Châteaubriant | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontivy GSI sit 15th in National 2 - Group B (5 points from 9 matches) and Châteaubriant sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Châteaubriant | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Pontivy GSI | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Pontivy GSI vs Châteaubriant?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontivy GSI vs Châteaubriant?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Pontivy GSI vs Châteaubriant played?
- Pontivy GSI vs Châteaubriant is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.