Lorient II vs Saint-Malo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Charter 1, Quimperle
The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Lorient II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint-Malo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient II vs Saint-Malo?
Saint-Malo starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorient II
Not enough data to predict the Lorient II lineup.
Saint-Malo
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Malo lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Saint-Malo have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tarbes(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Granville(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lorient II wins, 1 draw, 3 Saint-Malo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Lorient II 3-0 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Saint-Malo 4-2 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Saint-Malo 1-1 Lorient II | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Lorient II 0-2 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Saint-Malo 2-0 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Lorient II 2-0 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Lorient II vs Saint-Malo on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Malo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Saint-Malo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient II sit 8th in National 2 - Group B (9 points from 6 matches) and Saint-Malo sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Lorient II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Lorient II vs Saint-Malo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient II vs Saint-Malo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Lorient II.
- Where and when is Lorient II vs Saint-Malo played?
- Lorient II vs Saint-Malo is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Charter 1, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.