Avranches vs Tarbes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade René Fenouillère, Avranches
The Footlab AI model makes Avranches the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tarbes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avranches wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avranches vs Tarbes?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Avranches (1,781) and Tarbes (1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avranches vs Tarbes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avranches
4-3-3- 7V. Crehin
- 14K. Herbin
- 17P. Terrien
- 25J. Pi
- 8C. Boateng
- 6N. Françoise
- 3P. Bourdin
- 26É. Dudouit
- 24S. Mazikou
- 4B. Mbaye
- 1A. Beuve
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avranches have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tarbes have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lorient II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Avranches score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tarbes score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avranches | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tarbes | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avranches sit 4th in National 2 - Group B (11 points from 6 matches) and Tarbes sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avranches | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Tarbes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
A question about Avranches vs Tarbes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avranches vs Tarbes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avranches the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tarbes.
- Where and when is Avranches vs Tarbes played?
- Avranches vs Tarbes is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade René Fenouillère, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.