Saumur vs Granville: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab model makes Granville the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Granville?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Saumur (1,629) and Granville (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Granville have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Montlouis(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Saumur win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Granville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Granville 1-1 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Saumur 3-1 Granville | National 2 - Group A |
| May 17, 2025 | Granville 3-1 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Saumur 1-1 Granville | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Granville score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Granville | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 10th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Granville sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Saumur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Granville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Granville?
- The Footlab model makes Granville the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Granville played?
- Saumur vs Granville is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.