Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca: result 2-3 and analysis
Campeones CupFinalKick-off on October 2, 2025 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California
Full time
What was the result of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca?
Toluca won 2-3 on October 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 36′D. FagundezLos Angeles Galaxy (pen.)
- 53′N. CastroToluca
- 84′Gabriel PecLos Angeles Galaxy
- 88′F. RomeroToluca
- 90′F. PereiraToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 4-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 21, 2025 | FC Cincinnati(home) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Orlando City SC(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 6-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles Galaxy score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Toluca | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy