Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah
The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Los Angeles Galaxy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,795) and Los Angeles Galaxy (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Los Angeles Galaxy have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 3-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 4-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Salt Lake win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy 3-3 Real Salt Lake | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Real Salt Lake 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Real Salt Lake 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| May 12, 2024 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Salt Lake sit 8th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 20 matches) and Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th (26 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 32 | 28 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Los Angeles Galaxy.
- Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy played?
- Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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