Match

Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Segra Field, Leesburg, Virginia

Loudoun UnitedColorado Springs

The Footlab model makes Colorado Springs the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Loudoun United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Loudoun United (1,657) and Colorado Springs (1,752).

Loudoun United win31 %
Draw28 %
Colorado Springs win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loudoun United have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Colorado Springs have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Loudoun United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026New Mexico United(home)0-0USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026Detroit City(away)0-0USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026Charleston Battery(home)0-1USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026Hartford Athletic(home)2-0USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026Indy Eleven(away)1-0USL Championship
Colorado Springs
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026El Paso Locomotive(home)0-1USL Championship
Aug 20, 2026Phoenix Rising(away)1-3USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Birmingham Legion(home)3-2USL Championship
Aug 13, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)1-1USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026Rhode Island(away)0-2USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Loudoun United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Colorado Springs win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 29, 2024Colorado Springs 1-1 Loudoun UnitedUSL Championship
Apr 1, 2023Loudoun United 0-1 Colorado SpringsUSL Championship
Jul 31, 2021Loudoun United 1-3 Colorado SpringsUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Colorado Springs vs Loudoun United on Sep 29, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Loudoun United score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Springs score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Loudoun United0.91.567/155/15
Colorado Springs1.41.138/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Loudoun United sit 12th in USL Championship (9 points from 11 matches) and Colorado Springs sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Colorado Springs21849323228
10Loudoun United203116213020
11Colorado Springs11344181813
12Loudoun United1116413219

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs?
The Footlab model makes Colorado Springs the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Loudoun United.
Where and when is Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs played?
Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Segra Field, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Loudoun United and Colorado Springs

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