Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Segra Field, Leesburg, Virginia
The Footlab model makes Colorado Springs the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Loudoun United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Loudoun United (1,657) and Colorado Springs (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loudoun United have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Colorado Springs have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | New Mexico United(home) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Detroit City(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Charleston Battery(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Indy Eleven(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Phoenix Rising(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Birmingham Legion(home) | 3-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 1-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rhode Island(away) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Loudoun United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Colorado Springs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Colorado Springs 1-1 Loudoun United | USL Championship |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Loudoun United 0-1 Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Loudoun United 1-3 Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Colorado Springs vs Loudoun United on Sep 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Loudoun United score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Springs score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loudoun United | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Colorado Springs | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loudoun United sit 12th in USL Championship (9 points from 11 matches) and Colorado Springs sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 28 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 20 |
| 11 | Colorado Springs | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs?
- The Footlab model makes Colorado Springs the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Loudoun United.
- Where and when is Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs played?
- Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Segra Field, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots