Lovćen vs Berane: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar Cetinjski, Cetinje
The Footlab model makes Berane the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Lovćen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lovćen vs Berane?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Lovćen (1,278) and Berane (1,268).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lovćen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Berane have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jedinstvo(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost Lješkopolje(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Igalo(away) | 4-2 | Second League |
| May 20, 2026 | Kom(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Iskra(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Jedinstvo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 24, 2026 | Mladost Lješkopolje(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
| May 20, 2026 | Igalo(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Lovćen(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lovćen win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Berane win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Lovćen 0-0 Berane | Second League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Berane 1-1 Lovćen | Second League |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Lovćen 0-4 Berane | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Berane 1-1 Lovćen | Second League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Lovćen 0-0 Berane | Second League |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Berane 1-2 Lovćen | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lovćen score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Berane score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovćen | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Berane | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lovćen sit 8th in Second League (3 points from 2 matches) and Berane sit 9th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lovćen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Berane | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lovćen vs Berane?
- The Footlab model makes Berane the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Lovćen.
- Where and when is Lovćen vs Berane played?
- Lovćen vs Berane is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar Cetinjski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.