Lozo vs Pélican: prediction and stats
Championnat D1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stade Mbeba, Lastoursville
The Footlab model makes Lozo the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Pélican. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lozo vs Pélican?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Lozo (1,418) and Pélican (1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lozo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pélican have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Mangasport(away) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Stade Migoveen(home) | 1-0 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Stade Mandji(away) | 1-5 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Vautour Club(home) | 1-0 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US Oyem(away) | 1-3 | Championnat D1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Cercle Mbéri(away) | 0-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Oyem AC(home) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | FC 105(away) | 4-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Mangasport(home) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Stade Migoveen(away) | 2-2 | Championnat D1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Lozo win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Pélican win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Lozo 1-1 Pélican | Championnat D1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Pélican 1-1 Lozo | Championnat D1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Lozo 0-0 Pélican | Championnat D1 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Pélican 2-4 Lozo | Championnat D1 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Lozo 2-4 Pélican | Championnat D1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lozo score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pélican score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lozo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Pélican | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lozo sit 9th in Championnat D1 (26 points from 22 matches) and Pélican sit 11th (23 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lozo | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Pélican | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lozo vs Pélican?
- The Footlab model makes Lozo the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Pélican.
- Where and when is Lozo vs Pélican played?
- Lozo vs Pélican is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Mbeba, in the Championnat D1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.