Mounana vs Mangasport: prediction and stats
Championnat D1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Nzeng Ayong, Libreville
The Footlab model makes Mangasport the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Mounana. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mounana vs Mangasport?
Mangasport is a heavy favourite: 1,745 Elo points against 1,424 — a 321-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mounana have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Mangasport have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2025 | Cercle Mbéri(away) | 0-1 | Championnat D1 |
| May 24, 2025 | Bitam(home) | 0-2 | Championnat D1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Vautour Club(home) | 1-3 | Championnat D1 |
| May 5, 2025 | Stade Mandji(away) | 2-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | CS Bendje(away) | 2-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Lozo(home) | 2-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ogooue FC(away) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Bouenguidi(home) | 3-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Pélican(away) | 2-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Bitam(home) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Mounana win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mangasport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mangasport 1-0 Mounana | Championnat D1 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Mounana 0-1 Mangasport | Championnat D1 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Mangasport 1-1 Mounana | Championnat D1 |
Last archived meeting: Mangasport vs Mounana on Apr 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mounana score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mangasport score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mounana | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mangasport | 2.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mangasport | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 15 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mounana vs Mangasport?
- The Footlab model makes Mangasport the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Mounana.
- Where and when is Mounana vs Mangasport played?
- Mounana vs Mangasport is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Nzeng Ayong, in the Championnat D1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.