Stade Mandji vs Cercle Mbéri: prediction and stats
Championnat D1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stade Pierre Claver Divounguy, Port-Gentil
The Footlab model makes Stade Mandji the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Cercle Mbéri. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Mandji vs Cercle Mbéri?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Stade Mandji (1,635) and Cercle Mbéri (1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Mandji have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cercle Mbéri have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Vautour Club(home) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US Oyem(away) | 0-0 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Lozo(home) | 5-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ogooue FC(away) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Bouenguidi(home) | 1-0 | Championnat D1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Pélican(home) | 2-0 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bitam(away) | 1-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Dikaki(away) | 4-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Oyem AC(home) | 1-0 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | FC 105(away) | 5-1 | Championnat D1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Stade Mandji win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Cercle Mbéri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Cercle Mbéri 0-1 Stade Mandji | Championnat D1 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Stade Mandji 2-0 Cercle Mbéri | Championnat D1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Stade Mandji 0-1 Cercle Mbéri | Championnat D1 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Cercle Mbéri 1-0 Stade Mandji | Championnat D1 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Stade Mandji 1-2 Cercle Mbéri | Championnat D1 |
Last archived meeting: Cercle Mbéri vs Stade Mandji on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Mandji score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cercle Mbéri score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Mandji | 1.6 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Cercle Mbéri | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Mandji sit 2nd in Championnat D1 (49 points from 21 matches) and Cercle Mbéri sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Stade Mandji | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Cercle Mbéri | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Mandji vs Cercle Mbéri?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Mandji the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Cercle Mbéri.
- Where and when is Stade Mandji vs Cercle Mbéri played?
- Stade Mandji vs Cercle Mbéri is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Pierre Claver Divounguy, in the Championnat D1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.