LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Mogosoaia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Clinceni - Arena 1, Clinceni
The Footlab model makes LPS HD Clinceni the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Progresul Mogosoaia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate LPS HD Clinceni (1,457) and Progresul Mogosoaia (1,410).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LPS HD Clinceni have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Progresul Mogosoaia have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 LPS HD Clinceni win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Progresul Mogosoaia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia 3-0 LPS HD Clinceni | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Mogosoaia vs LPS HD Clinceni on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LPS HD Clinceni score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPS HD Clinceni | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | LPS HD Clinceni | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 19 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
- The Footlab model makes LPS HD Clinceni the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Progresul Mogosoaia.
- Where and when is LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Mogosoaia played?
- LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Mogosoaia is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Clinceni - Arena 1, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.