Progresul Mogosoaia vs LPS HD Clinceni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for LPS HD Clinceni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Mogosoaia vs LPS HD Clinceni?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Progresul Mogosoaia (1,410) and LPS HD Clinceni (1,457).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Mogosoaia have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; LPS HD Clinceni have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Progresul Mogosoaia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 LPS HD Clinceni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia 3-0 LPS HD Clinceni | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Mogosoaia vs LPS HD Clinceni on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; LPS HD Clinceni score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| LPS HD Clinceni | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | LPS HD Clinceni | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 19 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Mogosoaia vs LPS HD Clinceni?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for LPS HD Clinceni.
- Where and when is Progresul Mogosoaia vs LPS HD Clinceni played?
- Progresul Mogosoaia vs LPS HD Clinceni is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.