Progresul Mogosoaia vs FCSB II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for FCSB II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Mogosoaia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Mogosoaia vs FCSB II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Progresul Mogosoaia (1,505) and FCSB II (1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Mogosoaia vs FCSB II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Mogosoaia
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Mogosoaia lineup.
FCSB II
Not enough data to predict the FCSB II lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Mogosoaia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FCSB II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Omega Sport(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Omega Sport(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Alexandria(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oxigen Bucuresti(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FCSB II score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| FCSB II | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Mogosoaia sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 5 (9 points from 7 matches) and FCSB II sit 12th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | FCSB II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 3 |
A question about Progresul Mogosoaia vs FCSB II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Mogosoaia vs FCSB II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for FCSB II.
- Where and when is Progresul Mogosoaia vs FCSB II played?
- Progresul Mogosoaia vs FCSB II is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.